Kustosija U19 vs Dinamo Zagreb U19

20 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.9 pp

Kustosija U19

Dinamo Zagreb U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 18.2% DRAW 21.4% AWAY 60.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 20.0% 4.65 DRAW 22.6% 4.10 AWAY 57.4% 1.62

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Dinamo Zagreb U19 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 60.3% win probability, compared with 57.4% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Dinamo Zagreb U19 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kustosija U19 Dinamo Zagreb U19

Shots 9.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 17.8 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours Dinamo Zagreb U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kustosija U19 Dinamo Zagreb U19

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 2.5

Dinamo Zagreb U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kustosija U19 Dinamo Zagreb U19

The combined recent performance profile favours Dinamo Zagreb U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Kustosija U19 ↑ +0.53 (+12.7%)

Dinamo Zagreb U19 ↓ -0.03 (-1.5%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.