HNK Gorica U19 vs NK Lucko U19

13 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.0 pp

HNK Gorica U19

NK Lucko U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.4% DRAW 24.3% AWAY 23.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.4% 2.05 DRAW 25.6% 3.80 AWAY 27.0% 3.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates HNK Gorica U19 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 52.4% win probability, compared with 47.4% implied by the market. The 5.0 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: HNK Gorica U19

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

HNK Gorica U19 NK Lucko U19

Shots 8.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 6.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

HNK Gorica U19 NK Lucko U19

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 18.0 · On target allowed 9.0

HNK Gorica U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

HNK Gorica U19 NK Lucko U19

The combined recent performance profile favours HNK Gorica U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

HNK Gorica U19 ↓ -0.03 (-1.4%)

NK Lucko U19 ↑ +0.74 (+25.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.