Asteras Tripolis U19 vs AEK Athens U19

13 Sep 2026 · 11:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Asteras Tripolis U19

AEK Athens U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 17.6% DRAW 21.8% AWAY 60.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 18.2% 5.22 DRAW 22.5% 4.21 AWAY 59.3% 1.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

AEK Athens U19 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Asteras Tripolis U19 AEK Athens U19

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 12.0 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours AEK Athens U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Asteras Tripolis U19 AEK Athens U19

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.5

AEK Athens U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Asteras Tripolis U19 AEK Athens U19

The combined recent performance profile favours AEK Athens U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Asteras Tripolis U19 ↓ -1.40 (-21.1%)

AEK Athens U19 ↑ +0.12 (+8.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.