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Croatia U19 League · HR

NK Trnje U19 vs Slaven Koprivnica U19

25 Oct 2026 · 12:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a negligible model-market difference for an away win for Slaven Koprivnica U19. The difference is too small to suggest meaningful disagreement.

Recent Performance

The home side have experienced mixed results recently. Defensive difficulties have been apparent. They have faced considerably more attempts than they have produced.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. Their opponents have held a modest advantage in shooting volume.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 1.57 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.74. At this price, an away win for Slaven Koprivnica U19 does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME
NK Trnje U19
STOCHASTICBET 20.1%
BET365 20.7% odd 4.33
DIFFERENCE -0.5 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 22.5%
BET365 22.4% odd 4.00
DIFFERENCE +0.1 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
Slaven Koprivnica U19
STOCHASTICBET 57.4%
BET365 57.0% odd 1.57
DIFFERENCE +0.4 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 24 Oct 2026 · 15:21
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Slaven Koprivnica U19 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
NK Trnje U19 Slaven Koprivnica U19
Shots 8.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 9.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
NK Trnje U19 Slaven Koprivnica U19
Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Slaven Koprivnica U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
NK Trnje U19 Slaven Koprivnica U19

The combined recent performance profile favours Slaven Koprivnica U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-25 11:13:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Croatia U19 League · 111 matches with scores · 88 with shots · coverage 79.3%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

NK Trnje U196 matches · 3 home / 3 away
LLLWLL
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
Slaven Koprivnica U196 matches · 3 home / 3 away
WWWDLD
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
NK Trnje U19Home team
−1.28.5 actual
Slaven Koprivnica U19Away team
−3.16.7 actual
NK Trnje U19: 8.5 · league average 9.7 · 6 valid matchesSlaven Koprivnica U19: 6.7 · league average 9.7 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
NK Trnje U19Home team
+1.911.7 actual
Slaven Koprivnica U19Away team
−2.47.3 actual
NK Trnje U19: 11.7 · league average 9.7 · 6 valid matchesSlaven Koprivnica U19: 7.3 · league average 9.7 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
NK Trnje U19Home team
−1.43.0 actual
Slaven Koprivnica U19Away team
−1.13.3 actual
NK Trnje U19: 3.0 · league average 4.4 · 6 valid matchesSlaven Koprivnica U19: 3.3 · league average 4.4 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
NK Trnje U19Home team
+1.05.3 actual
Slaven Koprivnica U19Away team
−0.63.8 actual
NK Trnje U19: 5.3 · league average 4.4 · 6 valid matchesSlaven Koprivnica U19: 3.8 · league average 4.4 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
NK Trnje U19Home team
−0.691.00 actual
Slaven Koprivnica U19Away team
+0.141.83 actual
NK Trnje U19: 1.00 · league average 1.69 · 6 valid matchesSlaven Koprivnica U19: 1.83 · league average 1.69 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
NK Trnje U19Home team
−4.8 pp11.8% actual
Slaven Koprivnica U19Away team
+10.9 pp27.5% actual
NK Trnje U19: 11.8% · league average 16.6% · 6 valid matchesSlaven Koprivnica U19: 27.5% · league average 16.6% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
NK Trnje U19Home team
+2.0 pp18.6% actual
Slaven Koprivnica U19Away team
+1.6 pp18.2% actual
NK Trnje U19: 18.6% · league average 16.6% · 6 valid matchesSlaven Koprivnica U19: 18.2% · league average 16.6% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

NK Trnje U19 · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
18/10/2026Away0–27 / 203 / 9
11/10/2026Home1–210 / 65 / 2
20/09/2026Away0–15 / 141 / 3
13/09/2026Home3–212 / 94 / 5
06/09/2026Home1–48 / 122 / 7
30/08/2026Away1–29 / 93 / 6
Slaven Koprivnica U19 · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
16/10/2026Home2–14 / 82 / 3
11/10/2026Away3–113 / 65 / 4
19/09/2026Away3–24 / 93 / 4
13/09/2026Home2–215 / 87 / 5
06/09/2026Away1–24 / 133 / 7
02/09/2026Home0–00 / 00 / 0

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.