San Antonio FC vs Louisville City FC

09 Sep 2026 · 02:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

San Antonio FC

Louisville City FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.9% DRAW 29.0% AWAY 43.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.5% 3.41 DRAW 28.9% 3.25 AWAY 43.6% 2.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Louisville City FC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

San Antonio FC Louisville City FC

Shots 8.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 10.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Louisville City FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

San Antonio FC Louisville City FC

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.3

San Antonio FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

San Antonio FC Louisville City FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

San Antonio FC ↑ +0.51 (+17.7%)

Louisville City FC ↓ -0.12 (-5.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.