Spain Tercera Group 3 · ES

Vimenor vs Castro

08 Nov 2026 · 17:00

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for Vimenor. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.58 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.67. At this price, a home win for Vimenor does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE

HOME MODEL > MARKET

Vimenor

STOCHASTICBET 59.9%

PINNACLE 57.7% odd 1.58

DIFFERENCE +2.2 pp

DRAW

Draw

STOCHASTICBET 23.8%

PINNACLE 24.4% odd 3.73

DIFFERENCE -0.6 pp

AWAY

Castro

STOCHASTICBET 16.4%

PINNACLE 17.9% odd 5.08

DIFFERENCE -1.6 pp

STOCHASTICBET

PINNACLE MARKET

Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 07:11

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Defensive Edge: Vimenor

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Vimenor Castro

Shots 7.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 8.3 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Vimenor Castro

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.3

Vimenor has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Vimenor Castro

The combined recent performance profile favours Vimenor.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.