FK Karvan vs Zaqatala

16 Sep 2026 · 14:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

FK Karvan

Zaqatala

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.5% DRAW 22.0% AWAY 16.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.4% 1.50 DRAW 22.5% 4.10 AWAY 16.1% 5.73

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FK Karvan

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Karvan Zaqatala

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 7.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Karvan Zaqatala

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Karvan Zaqatala

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

FK Karvan = (0.0%)

Zaqatala ↑ +0.73 (+14.6%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.