Baku Sporting FC vs Sabail FC

17 Sep 2026 · 14:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Baku Sporting FC

Sabail FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.2% DRAW 26.1% AWAY 51.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 20.4% 4.54 DRAW 25.7% 3.60 AWAY 53.8% 1.72

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Baku Sporting FC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Baku Sporting FC Sabail FC

Shots 13.0 · On target 5.3 Shots 8.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Baku Sporting FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Baku Sporting FC Sabail FC

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Sabail FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Baku Sporting FC Sabail FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Baku Sporting FC ↑ +1.14 (+33.4%)

Sabail FC ↓ -0.19 (-9.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.