Simal FK vs FK Sahdag Qusar

17 Sep 2026 · 14:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Simal FK

FK Sahdag Qusar

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 18.9% DRAW 25.5% AWAY 55.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 18.3% 5.12 DRAW 25.3% 3.70 AWAY 56.4% 1.66

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Simal FK

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Simal FK FK Sahdag Qusar

Shots 12.5 · On target 5.8 Shots 10.3 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Simal FK, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Simal FK FK Sahdag Qusar

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.0

FK Sahdag Qusar has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Simal FK FK Sahdag Qusar

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Simal FK ↑ +0.69 (+15.4%)

FK Sahdag Qusar = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.