FK Sahdag Qusar vs FK Karvan

09 Sep 2026 · 14:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

FK Sahdag Qusar

FK Karvan

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 25.3% DRAW 30.7% AWAY 44.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.6% 4.06 DRAW 29.8% 3.20 AWAY 46.6% 2.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: FK Sahdag Qusar

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Sahdag Qusar FK Karvan

Shots 10.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 8.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Sahdag Qusar FK Karvan

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Sahdag Qusar FK Karvan

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

FK Sahdag Qusar ↑ +0.86 (+26.7%)

FK Karvan = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.