Sabail FC vs Energetik Mingechevir

10 Sep 2026 · 14:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Sabail FC

Energetik Mingechevir

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 63.4% DRAW 20.6% AWAY 16.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.7% 1.51 DRAW 21.6% 4.32 AWAY 16.7% 5.59

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Sabail FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sabail FC Energetik Mingechevir

Shots 6.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 6.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sabail FC Energetik Mingechevir

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 5.3

Sabail FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sabail FC Energetik Mingechevir

The combined recent performance profile favours Sabail FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Sabail FC ↓ -0.59 (-28.0%)

Energetik Mingechevir ↑ +2.59 (+86.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.