Brighton U21 vs PSG U21

16 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.3 pp

Brighton U21

PSG U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.7% DRAW 22.4% AWAY 40.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.4% 2.88 DRAW 23.1% 4.15 AWAY 43.5% 2.21

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Brighton U21 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 37.7% win probability, compared with 33.4% implied by the market. The 4.3 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Brighton U21

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Brighton U21 PSG U21

Shots 13.0 · On target 7.8 Shots 7.8 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Brighton U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Brighton U21 PSG U21

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.8

PSG U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Brighton U21 PSG U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Brighton U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Brighton U21 ↓ -0.43 (-12.9%)

PSG U21 ↑ +0.09 (+4.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.