Boldklubben AF 1893 (W) vs Naestved HG (W)

12 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Boldklubben AF 1893 (W)

Naestved HG (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.8% DRAW 22.5% AWAY 25.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.6% 1.85 DRAW 23.4% 4.00 AWAY 26.0% 3.61

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Boldklubben AF 1893 (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Boldklubben AF 1893 (W) Naestved HG (W)

Shots 14.8 · On target 8.8 Shots 11.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Boldklubben AF 1893 (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Boldklubben AF 1893 (W) Naestved HG (W)

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 2.5

Naestved HG (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Boldklubben AF 1893 (W) Naestved HG (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Boldklubben AF 1893 (W) ↑ +0.01 (+0.8%)

Naestved HG (W) ↑ +0.28 (+8.4%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.