Stoke U21 vs Borussia M'gladbach U21

16 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +5.6 pp

Stoke U21

Borussia M'gladbach U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.6% DRAW 22.4% AWAY 50.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.8% 3.02 DRAW 23.8% 3.90 AWAY 45.4% 2.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Borussia M'gladbach U21 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 50.9% win probability, compared with 45.4% implied by the market. The 5.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Borussia M'gladbach U21 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Stoke U21 Borussia M'gladbach U21

Shots 6.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 11.8 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Borussia M'gladbach U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Stoke U21 Borussia M'gladbach U21

Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 7.8 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Borussia M'gladbach U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Stoke U21 Borussia M'gladbach U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Borussia M'gladbach U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Stoke U21 ↑ +0.34 (+12.6%)

Borussia M'gladbach U21 ↓ -0.09 (-4.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.