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Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 · ES

Don Benito vs Puente Genil

08 Nov 2026 · 12:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a negligible model-market difference for a home win for Don Benito. The difference is too small to suggest meaningful disagreement.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.98 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.10. At this price, a home win for Don Benito does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Don Benito
STOCHASTICBET 47.6%
PINNACLE 47.1% odd 1.98
DIFFERENCE +0.5 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 30.2%
PINNACLE 30.3% odd 3.08
DIFFERENCE -0.1 pp
AWAY
Puente Genil
STOCHASTICBET 22.2%
PINNACLE 22.6% odd 4.13
DIFFERENCE -0.4 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 10:11
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Don Benito

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Don Benito Puente Genil
Shots 10.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 7.5 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Don Benito, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Don Benito Puente Genil
Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 2.8

Puente Genil has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Don Benito Puente Genil

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.