Rangers vs Celtic

13 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Rangers

Celtic

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.3% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 39.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.9% 2.60 DRAW 25.2% 3.80 AWAY 37.9% 2.53

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Celtic

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Rangers Celtic

Shots 19.3 · On target 5.3 Shots 22.0 · On target 9.0

Recent attacking output favours Celtic, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Rangers Celtic

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Rangers Celtic

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Rangers ↑ +0.26 (+11.1%)

Celtic ↓ -0.35 (-12.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.