Rochdale vs Liverpool U21

22 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +5.8 pp

Rochdale

Liverpool U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.5% DRAW 24.5% AWAY 34.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.1% 2.02 DRAW 24.8% 3.75 AWAY 29.1% 3.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Liverpool U21 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 34.9% win probability, compared with 29.1% implied by the market. The 5.8 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Liverpool U21 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Rochdale Liverpool U21

Shots 7.8 · On target 2.5 Shots 10.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Liverpool U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Rochdale Liverpool U21

Shots allowed 18.3 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Liverpool U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Rochdale Liverpool U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Liverpool U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Rochdale ↑ +0.01 (+0.5%)

Liverpool U21 ↓ -0.05 (-1.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.