Alianca FC (W) vs Anapolina (W)

08 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Alianca FC (W)

Anapolina (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 15.1% DRAW 21.5% AWAY 63.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 15.6% 5.97 DRAW 22.1% 4.20 AWAY 62.3% 1.49

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Anapolina (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Alianca FC (W) Anapolina (W)

Shots 6.3 · On target 2.8 Shots 12.0 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Anapolina (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Alianca FC (W) Anapolina (W)

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Alianca FC (W) Anapolina (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Anapolina (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Alianca FC (W) ↑ +2.87 (+92.6%)

Anapolina (W) ↓ -0.81 (-35.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.