Vila Nova GO (W) vs Flugoiania (W)

05 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Vila Nova GO (W)

Flugoiania (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 90.8% DRAW 6.5% AWAY 2.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 89.5% 1.10 DRAW 7.6% 13.00 AWAY 2.9% 34.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Vila Nova GO (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Vila Nova GO (W) Flugoiania (W)

Shots 9.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 5.0 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Vila Nova GO (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Vila Nova GO (W) Flugoiania (W)

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 6.5

Vila Nova GO (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Vila Nova GO (W) Flugoiania (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Vila Nova GO (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Vila Nova GO (W) = (0.0%)

Flugoiania (W) = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.