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New Zealand Cup · NZ

Cashmere Technical vs Fencibles United

05 Sep 2026 · 06:00
CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.3 pp
Cashmere Technical
Fencibles United
HOME 63.0% DRAW 20.4% AWAY 16.5%
HOME 58.7% 1.70 DRAW 22.2% 4.50 AWAY 19.1% 5.21

StochasticBet rates Cashmere Technical clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 63.0% win probability, compared with 58.7% implied by the market. The 4.3 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Cashmere Technical has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Cashmere Technical Fencibles United
Shots 18.5 · On target 10.8 Shots 14.0 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Cashmere Technical, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Cashmere Technical Fencibles United
Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Cashmere Technical has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Cashmere Technical Fencibles United

The combined recent performance profile favours Cashmere Technical.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Cashmere Technical ↓ -0.10 (-5.6%)
Fencibles United ↑ +2.21 (+73.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.