New Zealand Cup
·
NZ
Cashmere Technical vs Fencibles United
05 Sep 2026 · 06:00
OPPORTUNITY
Cashmere Technical
Fencibles United
STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY
HOME 63.0%
DRAW 20.4%
AWAY 16.5%
MARKET PROBABILITY
HOME
58.7%
1.70
DRAW
22.2%
4.50
AWAY
19.1%
5.21
MATCH INTELLIGENCE
StochasticBet rates Cashmere Technical clearly higher than the market does.
Our calibrated model estimates a 63.0% win probability, compared with 58.7% implied by the market. The 4.3 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.
PERFORMANCE
Cashmere Technical has the stronger recent profile
The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.
Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.
MARKET MOVEMENT
Home strengthening
Cashmere Technical
↓ -0.10
(-5.6%)
Fencibles United
↑ +2.21
(+73.7%)
The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.
Latest movement from the stored odds trend.