Wigan vs Blackpool

22 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.2 pp

Wigan

Blackpool

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.3% DRAW 25.6% AWAY 32.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.1% 2.48 DRAW 26.2% 3.60 AWAY 35.7% 2.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Wigan clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 42.3% win probability, compared with 38.1% implied by the market. The 4.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Wigan has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Wigan Blackpool

Shots 13.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 12.8 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Wigan Blackpool

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 18.5 · On target allowed 7.0

Wigan has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Wigan Blackpool

The combined recent performance profile favours Wigan.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Wigan ↑ +0.13 (+5.5%)

Blackpool ↓ -0.14 (-5.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.