Forge FC vs Supra du Quebec

16 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Forge FC

Supra du Quebec

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 65.1% DRAW 19.7% AWAY 15.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 63.3% 1.48 DRAW 20.8% 4.50 AWAY 15.9% 5.87

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Forge FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Forge FC Supra du Quebec

Shots 14.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 12.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Forge FC Supra du Quebec

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Forge FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Forge FC Supra du Quebec

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Forge FC = (0.0%)

Supra du Quebec ↑ +1.80 (+36.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.