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Brazil Serie A · BR

Flamengo vs Botafogo

30 Aug 2026 · 21:00
MARKET CONSENSUS

Strong Home Lean

Home 72.2%
Draw 17.3%
Away 10.5%

Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 54.9 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Flamengo

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Flamengo Botafogo
Shots 17.0 · On target 6.3 Shots 15.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Flamengo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Flamengo Botafogo
Shots allowed 16.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Flamengo Botafogo

The combined recent performance profile favours Flamengo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Flamengo ↓ -0.08 (-5.7%)
Botafogo ↑ +2.35 (+31.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Quantitative context

Performance4 -1.283
Shot rating 6
Shots-on-target rating 15
Qualified model signal None
INTERPRETATION

Home Lean

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the home side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.