Brazil Serie A · BR

Corinthians vs Santos

30 Aug 2026 · 21:00

MARKET CONSENSUS

Home Lean

Home 50.4%

Draw 28.6%

Away 21.0%

Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 21.7 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Corinthians Santos

Shots 10.8 · On target 3.5 Shots 9.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Corinthians Santos

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Corinthians has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Corinthians Santos

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Corinthians ↑ +0.04 (+2.0%)

Santos ↑ +0.21 (+4.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Performance4 -1.186

Shot rating 10

Shots-on-target rating 6

Qualified model signal None

INTERPRETATION

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the home side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.