Brazil Serie A · BR

Gremio vs Chapecoense

30 Aug 2026 · 23:30

MARKET CONSENSUS

Strong Home Lean

Home 61.0%

Draw 23.1%

Away 15.8%

Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 37.9 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Gremio Chapecoense

Shots 10.0 · On target 2.5 Shots 9.8 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Gremio Chapecoense

Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 21.0 · On target allowed 5.8

Gremio has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Gremio Chapecoense

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Gremio = (0.0%)

Chapecoense ↑ +0.26 (+4.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Performance4 -1.369

Shot rating 23

Shots-on-target rating 7

Qualified model signal None

INTERPRETATION

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the home side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.