SC Kiyovu vs Bugesera

15 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

SC Kiyovu

Bugesera

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.0% DRAW 30.2% AWAY 17.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.9% 1.82 DRAW 30.3% 3.00 AWAY 19.8% 4.59

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: SC Kiyovu

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

SC Kiyovu Bugesera

Shots 10.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 3.5 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours SC Kiyovu, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SC Kiyovu Bugesera

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SC Kiyovu Bugesera

The combined recent performance profile favours SC Kiyovu.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

SC Kiyovu ↑ +0.02 (+1.1%)

Bugesera ↑ +0.09 (+2.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.