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Rwanda National League · RW

Mukura vs Police FC

17 Sep 2026 · 15:00
NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp
Mukura
Police FC
HOME 37.8% DRAW 31.6% AWAY 30.6%
HOME 36.7% 2.45 DRAW 31.2% 2.88 AWAY 32.1% 2.80

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Police FC

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Mukura Police FC
Shots 5.0 · On target 2.0 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Police FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Mukura Police FC
Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Mukura has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Mukura Police FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Mukura ↓ -0.03 (-1.2%)
Police FC ↓ -0.05 (-1.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.