Etincelles vs Musanze FC

15 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Etincelles

Musanze FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.2% DRAW 30.8% AWAY 33.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.1% 2.50 DRAW 30.6% 2.95 AWAY 33.4% 2.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Musanze FC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Etincelles Musanze FC

Shots 9.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 12.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Musanze FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Etincelles Musanze FC

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Etincelles has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Etincelles Musanze FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Etincelles = (0.0%)

Musanze FC = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.