Police FC vs Gicumbi FC

07 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Police FC

Gicumbi FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.8% DRAW 27.8% AWAY 19.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.8% 1.67 DRAW 27.2% 3.36 AWAY 18.1% 5.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Gicumbi FC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Police FC Gicumbi FC

Shots 7.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 8.0 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Police FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Police FC Gicumbi FC

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 2.3

Gicumbi FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Police FC Gicumbi FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Police FC ↑ +0.24 (+16.5%)

Gicumbi FC ↓ -1.58 (-23.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.