Al Ain SCC vs Al-Nassr Riyadh

15 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.5 pp

Al Ain SCC

Al-Nassr Riyadh

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.8% DRAW 22.4% AWAY 49.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.3% 4.40 DRAW 22.1% 4.43 AWAY 55.6% 1.76

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Al Ain SCC clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 27.8% win probability, compared with 22.3% implied by the market. The 5.5 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Al Ain SCC

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Ain SCC Al-Nassr Riyadh

Shots 23.3 · On target 9.8 Shots 14.5 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Al Ain SCC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Ain SCC Al-Nassr Riyadh

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 2.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Ain SCC Al-Nassr Riyadh

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Ain SCC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Al Ain SCC ↑ +0.31 (+7.4%)

Al-Nassr Riyadh ↑ +0.15 (+9.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.