Beijing Guoan vs Pohang Steelers

15 Sep 2026 · 14:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Beijing Guoan

Pohang Steelers

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.1% DRAW 23.8% AWAY 23.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.7% 1.88 DRAW 24.5% 3.96 AWAY 23.8% 4.09

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Beijing Guoan

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Beijing Guoan Pohang Steelers

Shots 12.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 6.5 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Beijing Guoan, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Beijing Guoan Pohang Steelers

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Pohang Steelers has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Beijing Guoan Pohang Steelers

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Beijing Guoan ↑ +0.09 (+5.0%)

Pohang Steelers ↑ +0.31 (+8.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.