Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Tractor Sazi

14 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.6 pp

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

Tractor Sazi

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.8% DRAW 22.4% AWAY 15.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 59.2% 1.63 DRAW 23.5% 4.10 AWAY 17.3% 5.58

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 61.8% win probability, compared with 59.2% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Tractor Sazi

Shots 14.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 2.8 · On target 0.3

Recent attacking output favours Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Tractor Sazi

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 2.5

Tractor Sazi has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Tractor Sazi

The combined recent performance profile favours Shabab Al Ahli Dubai.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai ↓ -0.15 (-8.4%)

Tractor Sazi ↑ +1.63 (+41.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.