Machida Zelvia vs Svay Rieng FC

17 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Machida Zelvia

Svay Rieng FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 79.0% DRAW 11.4% AWAY 9.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 79.9% 1.19 DRAW 11.9% 8.00 AWAY 8.2% 11.59

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Svay Rieng FC

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Machida Zelvia Svay Rieng FC

Shots 13.8 · On target 4.8 Shots 18.5 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output favours Svay Rieng FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Machida Zelvia Svay Rieng FC

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Machida Zelvia Svay Rieng FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Machida Zelvia ↓ -0.13 (-9.7%)

Svay Rieng FC ↑ +4.16 (+56.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.