Al-Shamal SC vs Al Ittihad Jeddah

14 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Al-Shamal SC

Al Ittihad Jeddah

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.8% DRAW 22.9% AWAY 56.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 19.8% 4.86 DRAW 23.1% 4.15 AWAY 57.1% 1.68

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al-Shamal SC Al Ittihad Jeddah

Shots 9.3 · On target 5.5 Shots 12.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al-Shamal SC Al Ittihad Jeddah

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al-Shamal SC Al Ittihad Jeddah

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Al-Shamal SC ↓ -0.28 (-5.4%)

Al Ittihad Jeddah ↑ +0.24 (+16.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.