Kitchee vs Gangwon FC

17 Sep 2026 · 14:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Kitchee

Gangwon FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.6% DRAW 28.1% AWAY 32.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.2% 2.46 DRAW 28.3% 3.31 AWAY 33.5% 2.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Kitchee

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kitchee Gangwon FC

Shots 14.3 · On target 6.5 Shots 8.5 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Kitchee, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kitchee Gangwon FC

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.0

Gangwon FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kitchee Gangwon FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Kitchee ↓ -2.46 (-50.0%)

Gangwon FC ↑ +1.22 (+77.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.