Kashima Antlers vs Newcastle Jets

15 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Kashima Antlers

Newcastle Jets

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 73.0% DRAW 16.5% AWAY 10.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 70.9% 1.38 DRAW 17.8% 5.50 AWAY 11.3% 8.68

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Kashima Antlers

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kashima Antlers Newcastle Jets

Shots 15.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 15.0 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kashima Antlers Newcastle Jets

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 5.3

Kashima Antlers has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kashima Antlers Newcastle Jets

The combined recent performance profile favours Kashima Antlers.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Kashima Antlers ↑ +0.13 (+10.4%)

Newcastle Jets ↑ +1.68 (+24.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.