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AFC Champions League Two ·

Al Shorta SC vs Al Hussein SC

27 Oct 2026 · 19:15
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for an away win for Al Hussein SC. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

The home side have maintained an unbeaten run. Goals have arrived regularly, while the defence has generally limited opposing scoring. The exchange of attempts has been broadly balanced.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. They have generated considerably more attempts than they have conceded.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 4.02 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 4.09. At this price, an away win for Al Hussein SC does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME
Al Shorta SC
STOCHASTICBET 47.3%
PINNACLE 49.3% odd 1.85
DIFFERENCE -2.0 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 28.2%
PINNACLE 27.9% odd 3.28
DIFFERENCE +0.3 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
Al Hussein SC
STOCHASTICBET 24.4%
PINNACLE 22.8% odd 4.02
DIFFERENCE +1.7 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 27 Oct 2026 · 17:31
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Al Hussein SC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Al Shorta SC Al Hussein SC
Shots 12.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 14.5 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Al Hussein SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Al Shorta SC Al Hussein SC
Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.8

Al Hussein SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Al Shorta SC Al Hussein SC

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Hussein SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-27 17:23:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +0.21 pp -1.33 pp
DRAW +0.58 pp +0.56 pp
AWAY -0.79 pp +0.77 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +6.89 pp +3.66 pp
DRAW -1.47 pp +0.56 pp
AWAY -5.42 pp -4.22 pp

Market Agreement: HOME UP · AWAY DOWN

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: AFC Champions League Two · 38 matches with scores · 36 with shots · coverage 94.7%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Al Shorta SC6 matches · 2 home / 4 away
WDWWDW
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
Al Hussein SC6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
WLWWDD
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Al Shorta SCHome team
+1.911.7 actual
Al Hussein SCAway team
+5.416.0 actual
Al Shorta SC: 11.7 · league average 9.8 · 6 valid matchesAl Hussein SC: 16.0 · league average 10.6 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Al Shorta SCHome team
+0.311.7 actual
Al Hussein SCAway team
−2.28.3 actual
Al Shorta SC: 11.7 · league average 11.4 · 6 valid matchesAl Hussein SC: 8.3 · league average 10.6 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Al Shorta SCHome team
−0.23.3 actual
Al Hussein SCAway team
+2.66.5 actual
Al Shorta SC: 3.3 · league average 3.6 · 6 valid matchesAl Hussein SC: 6.5 · league average 3.9 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Al Shorta SCHome team
+0.54.7 actual
Al Hussein SCAway team
−0.23.7 actual
Al Shorta SC: 4.7 · league average 4.2 · 6 valid matchesAl Hussein SC: 3.7 · league average 3.9 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Al Shorta SCHome team
+0.691.83 actual
Al Hussein SCAway team
+0.952.17 actual
Al Shorta SC: 1.83 · league average 1.14 · 6 valid matchesAl Hussein SC: 2.17 · league average 1.22 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Al Shorta SCHome team
+4.3 pp15.7% actual
Al Hussein SCAway team
+2.4 pp13.5% actual
Al Shorta SC: 15.7% · league average 11.5% · 6 valid matchesAl Hussein SC: 13.5% · league average 11.2% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Al Shorta SCHome team
−3.8 pp7.1% actual
Al Hussein SCAway team
+2.8 pp14.0% actual
Al Shorta SC: 7.1% · league average 10.9% · 6 valid matchesAl Hussein SC: 14.0% · league average 11.2% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

Al Shorta SC · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
23/10/2026Away2–014 / 122 / 0
18/10/2026Home1–111 / 22 / 2
13/10/2026Away3–213 / 175 / 10
13/10/2026Away3–212 / 174 / 11
08/10/2026Away0–013 / 114 / 3
19/09/2026Home2–07 / 113 / 2
Al Hussein SC · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
22/10/2026Home1–011 / 62 / 3
17/10/2026Away0–112 / 37 / 2
13/10/2026Away3–011 / 165 / 2
09/10/2026Home4–124 / 810 / 4
19/09/2026Away3–319 / 139 / 8
16/09/2026Home2–219 / 46 / 3

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.