Al Shorta SC vs Al Seeb

16 Sep 2026 · 20:15

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.4 pp

Al Shorta SC

Al Seeb

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.0% DRAW 27.3% AWAY 21.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.6% 1.98 DRAW 28.0% 3.37 AWAY 24.4% 3.87

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Al Shorta SC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 51.0% win probability, compared with 47.6% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Al Shorta SC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Shorta SC Al Seeb

Shots 15.0 · On target 6.3 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Al Shorta SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Shorta SC Al Seeb

Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.0

Al Shorta SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Shorta SC Al Seeb

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Shorta SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Al Shorta SC ↑ +0.18 (+10.0%)

Al Seeb ↑ +0.07 (+1.7%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.