Maccabi Herzliya vs SC Kfar Qasim

14 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.6 pp

Maccabi Herzliya

SC Kfar Qasim

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.9% DRAW 27.5% AWAY 23.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.3% 2.00 DRAW 28.0% 3.31 AWAY 25.7% 3.61

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Maccabi Herzliya relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 48.9% win probability, compared with 46.3% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Maccabi Herzliya has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Maccabi Herzliya SC Kfar Qasim

Shots 14.3 · On target 5.5 Shots 11.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Maccabi Herzliya SC Kfar Qasim

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Maccabi Herzliya SC Kfar Qasim

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Maccabi Herzliya ↓ -0.02 (-1.0%)

SC Kfar Qasim ↑ +0.30 (+9.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.