Qatar U23 vs South Korea U23

15 Sep 2026 · 12:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Qatar U23

South Korea U23

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 5.7% DRAW 15.5% AWAY 78.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 6.2% 15.00 DRAW 16.1% 5.75 AWAY 77.7% 1.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

South Korea U23 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Qatar U23 South Korea U23

Shots 6.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 12.0 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours South Korea U23, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Qatar U23 South Korea U23

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.8

South Korea U23 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Qatar U23 South Korea U23

The combined recent performance profile favours South Korea U23.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Qatar U23 ↑ +3.50 (+30.4%)

South Korea U23 ↓ -0.01 (-0.8%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.