Pirata FC vs Carlos Manucci

07 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Pirata FC

Carlos Manucci

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.5% DRAW 28.8% AWAY 41.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.4% 3.00 DRAW 29.0% 3.25 AWAY 39.6% 2.38

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Carlos Manucci has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Pirata FC Carlos Manucci

Shots 7.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 8.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Pirata FC Carlos Manucci

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.3

Carlos Manucci has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Pirata FC Carlos Manucci

The combined recent performance profile favours Carlos Manucci.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Pirata FC ↑ +0.60 (+25.0%)

Carlos Manucci ↓ -0.25 (-9.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.