FK Jablonec vs Banik Ostrava

09 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

FK Jablonec

Banik Ostrava

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.4% DRAW 26.2% AWAY 24.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.0% 1.91 DRAW 26.2% 3.72 AWAY 22.8% 4.27

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Banik Ostrava

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Jablonec Banik Ostrava

Shots 12.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 16.8 · On target 8.0

Recent attacking output favours Banik Ostrava, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Jablonec Banik Ostrava

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.5

FK Jablonec has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Jablonec Banik Ostrava

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FK Jablonec ↓ -0.29 (-13.2%)

Banik Ostrava ↑ +1.18 (+38.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.