Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Jolan SC

04 Sep 2026 · 17:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Ghaz Al Shamal

Al Jolan SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.4% DRAW 32.9% AWAY 29.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.1% 2.51 DRAW 32.4% 2.80 AWAY 31.5% 2.88

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Al Jolan SC

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ghaz Al Shamal Al Jolan SC

Shots 7.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 10.3 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Al Jolan SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ghaz Al Shamal Al Jolan SC

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Ghaz Al Shamal has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ghaz Al Shamal Al Jolan SC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Ghaz Al Shamal ↑ +0.06 (+2.4%)

Al Jolan SC ↓ -0.53 (-15.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.