Duhok vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya

03 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Duhok

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.0% DRAW 32.6% AWAY 35.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.9% 3.10 DRAW 31.9% 3.00 AWAY 37.1% 2.58

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Duhok

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Duhok Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Shots 8.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 8.8 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Duhok Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Duhok has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Duhok Al Quwa Al Jawiya

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Duhok ↓ -0.30 (-8.8%)

Al Quwa Al Jawiya ↑ +0.11 (+4.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.