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Iraq Stars League · IQ

Al Kahrabaa vs Al Gharraf

03 Sep 2026 · 20:00
NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp
Al Kahrabaa
Al Gharraf
HOME 43.6% DRAW 29.7% AWAY 26.7%
HOME 41.4% 2.23 DRAW 29.8% 3.10 AWAY 28.8% 3.20

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Al Kahrabaa

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Al Kahrabaa Al Gharraf
Shots 7.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 7.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Al Kahrabaa Al Gharraf
Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 5.3

Al Kahrabaa has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Al Kahrabaa Al Gharraf

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Al Kahrabaa ↑ +0.03 (+1.4%)
Al Gharraf = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.