Dacia Buiucani vs FC Balti

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.7 pp

Dacia Buiucani

FC Balti

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 76.8% DRAW 16.8% AWAY 6.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 73.1% 1.22 DRAW 18.8% 4.75 AWAY 8.1% 11.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Dacia Buiucani relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 76.8% win probability, compared with 73.1% implied by the market. The 3.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Dacia Buiucani has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Dacia Buiucani FC Balti

Shots 9.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 3.3 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Dacia Buiucani, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Dacia Buiucani FC Balti

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 17.0 · On target allowed 7.5

Dacia Buiucani has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Dacia Buiucani FC Balti

The combined recent performance profile favours Dacia Buiucani.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Dacia Buiucani ↓ -0.26 (-17.4%)

FC Balti ↑ +5.14 (+87.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.