Fluminense vs Platense

09 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Fluminense

Platense

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.7% DRAW 28.5% AWAY 14.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.6% 1.66 DRAW 27.5% 3.53 AWAY 13.9% 7.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Platense

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fluminense Platense

Shots 11.0 · On target 5.8 Shots 13.5 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fluminense Platense

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fluminense Platense

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Fluminense ↑ +0.08 (+5.1%)

Platense ↓ -1.19 (-14.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.