Platense vs Fluminense

16 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Platense

Fluminense

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.3% DRAW 33.8% AWAY 31.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.2% 3.11 DRAW 33.1% 3.03 AWAY 34.8% 2.88

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Platense

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Platense Fluminense

Shots 12.0 · On target 2.3 Shots 8.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Platense Fluminense

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Platense has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Platense Fluminense

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Platense ↓ -0.02 (-0.7%)

Fluminense ↑ +0.01 (+0.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.