Thitsar Arman FC vs Hantharwady United

05 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.9 pp

Thitsar Arman FC

Hantharwady United

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.2% DRAW 25.2% AWAY 30.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.3% 2.32 DRAW 26.0% 3.60 AWAY 33.8% 2.77

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Thitsar Arman FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 44.2% win probability, compared with 40.3% implied by the market. The 3.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Thitsar Arman FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Thitsar Arman FC Hantharwady United

Shots 5.8 · On target 3.5 Shots 5.3 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours Thitsar Arman FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Thitsar Arman FC Hantharwady United

Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Thitsar Arman FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Thitsar Arman FC Hantharwady United

The combined recent performance profile favours Thitsar Arman FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Thitsar Arman FC ↑ +0.21 (+10.0%)

Hantharwady United ↑ +0.11 (+4.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.