Ayeyawady Utd vs Dagon Star United FC

06 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.7 pp

Ayeyawady Utd

Dagon Star United FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.9% DRAW 26.2% AWAY 52.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 19.2% 5.03 DRAW 25.4% 3.80 AWAY 55.4% 1.74

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Ayeyawady Utd relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 21.9% win probability, compared with 19.2% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Dagon Star United FC

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ayeyawady Utd Dagon Star United FC

Shots 5.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Dagon Star United FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ayeyawady Utd Dagon Star United FC

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 5.5

Ayeyawady Utd has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ayeyawady Utd Dagon Star United FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Ayeyawady Utd ↑ +1.11 (+28.2%)

Dagon Star United FC ↑ +0.07 (+4.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.